Money (Mis) Management
Money (Mis) Management Part 2
Psychology Of Punting
Barrier Trials: Trial tease or future star?
What is unit betting?
Gear changes explained
Speed maps: How important are they?
GOLD MEMBER RESULTS
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The Melbourne Review Nov 306 months ago
Although the track played relatively fairly across the day I'd argue a decent point that the rails were not the place to be and that running on was hard to do with any real purpose across the card. There seemed to be a consistent pattern of horses landing on or near the speed and winning and this was regardless of tempo. Something to keep in mind for future meetings at this rail position during summer.
STAND OUT WINS
R1 TAGALOA: His race wasn't run at a strong tempo and so he was favoured racing up on the speed but I doubt that this strong finishing son of Lord Kanaloa was otherwise advantaged bar his spot on settling. I would be surprised if stronger run races didn't draw more from this colt having watched how he hits the line in trials and jump outs, his best work here was the last 100m and through the line. I fancy we're watching a classy 1200m 2yo and a 1400-1600m 3yo in the making.
R4 WAGNER: I queried the 1000m for this horse first-up given the best of his form card is at 1100m and 1200m, but he was dominant here. Wagner recorded the fastest last 600m and 400m of the entire meeting and was soft on the line - had he been ridden out the last 200m would have been just as good. Importantly four of his five wins have come first and second run in, he'll really be something to beat next start.
R7 RUBISAKI: Wow what an arse kicking this was! Rubisaki was first-up and maybe half a run short of peak condition in the yard but with a strong tempo on she absolutely brutalised this lot from the 400m and we know she's even better at 1400m. Not sure where they go with her now, but the $1million Inglis Sprint in early Feb is her target.
HORSES TO FOLLOW
R1 THE BIG EASY (5th): I'll be forgiving of this colt on debut as he did more wrong than right, starting by missing the start and landing in a pretty awful position at the back of the field in a slow run race. He ran on wel enough but faced an impossible task from the outset. Keep in mind that he was hard in the market from the time they opened and does have a good reputation at home.
R3 BE MY STAR (4th): This girl didn't have a lot of luck and was forced back to the slow lane in the mares sprint. She can win dropping back to ADL grade next start in a similar sort of BM80 line up around 1000m, just keep an eye on where she heads next.
R4 MYSTYKO (3rd): I wanted to follow this sprinter after his first-up run at Hillside and he backed that performance up with another fitness builder over 1000m here. The race was not run to suit but he hit the line really well with top 10 closing splits on the day. Hopefully he's out to 1100-1200m next time!
R6 SOMALS (4th): I'm going to forgive this filly for her defeat here as favourite as she sat right up on a strong tempo throughout and was vulnerable in that scneario second-up on a seven-day back up giving just 1kg to a stakes winning rival. We've got to be forgiving of her with that in mind as the stable clearly have a big opinion of her - she was the best backed runner on the day ($2.80-$2.30). Expect to see her in two or three weeks in similar company and she can bounce back.
R8 DANON ROMAN (3rd): This fellow should have finished closer to the winner Secret Blaze. While the winner and runner-up were taking off around tiring leaders in clear air, Danon Roman was held up hopelessly behind them - he lost all momentum and had to stoke up while completing the turn into the straight which is never easy to do. He was third-up here and can win in similar company next time.