Record Keeping

Money (Mis) Management

Money (Mis) Management Part 2

Psychology Of Punting

Barrier Trials: Trial tease or future star?

What is unit betting?

Gear changes explained

Speed maps: How important are they?

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The Melbourne Review Feb 6

4 weeks ago

Caulfield played pretty well although the rails didn't really look like the A-ground in my opinion.

THE BEST WINS

RACE 7 - PROBABEEL

Forget the hype - Probabeel proved here what true Group 1 quality is all about. I doubted her at 1200m, I doubted her with the 60kg G1 penalty off a tempo that looked likely to suit those on pace - and so did many others. This mare proved what a good horse looked like as she crushed this lot, runnng home in sme very slick closing splits comparatively on the card. She's in beast mode. Watch out All Star Mile. 

HORSES TO FOLLOW

1. TEMPEST CHARM (Caulfield Race 2)

She was well beaten and with a decent margin against her but there is a race coming soon for Tempest Charm. She found herself too far back in this field but going well late and closed really nicely, ultimately she just gave up too much of a head start. I can see her winning at 1200-1400m in slightly lesser grade than this.

2. ANAMOE (Caulfield Race 3)

I've backed Enthaar in early markets but I am really warming to this bloke as the Blue Diamond winner. His closing speed was REAL and came after pulling and reefing round the turn when wild fresh and not comfortable inside horses. If he draws with a little room in the Diamond he will go very close. 

3. JET PROPULSION (Caulfield Race 4)

I didn't expect this colt to get as far back as he did in this race with the blinkers on. He cruised to the line without a lot of room late and he clearly had a lot more to give. I really liked the run and he's looming as a genuine Australian Guineas chance - if he falls short there the 2040m Alister Clark at The Valley should be in his keeping.

4. PINKHAM (Caulfield Race 5)

The market expected so much more from this filly but a post race vet exam revealed an internal bleed - remember she won a trial by a whopping 7-lengths just 10 days before this race, was too much asked of her here? She will have a freshen up now you would expect, and I would expect that she will hit back like a tonne of bricks next start.

THE MARKET SAID...

BEST OF DAYS (1st R7, $3.70 - $3.30) might be ridden to a new pattern and so it was - did anyone see this horse leading? Oliver did even though it wasn't "in the plans" the market certainly identified some potential at least for this horse to take up an unusual forward role and on he went. Once again "they" knew.