Record Keeping

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Money (Mis) Management Part 2

Psychology Of Punting

Barrier Trials: Trial tease or future star?

What is unit betting?

Gear changes explained

Speed maps: How important are they?

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NFL PLAY OFFS

2 months ago

 

Tougher week than last week. There’s a couple of games I like but I want to shave a few points off and multi them for just one play this week. 

 

Bet: 2U Packers -2.5 and Ravens +7.5

 

Packers v Rams…

 

It will be -6.0C with wind chills colder than that, and if there’s something you can bank on it’s Rams QB Jared Goff having a shocker in cold weather. He’s played his entire college and pro career in sunny California and now he’s got a broken thumb to boot. He’s bombed in the two cold weather games he’s played, including the Super Bowl. 

 

The Rams are banged up at QB and WR, and the best player in the league (DT Aaron Donald) is also nursing an injury. Their defence is stellar - potentially the best in the league under new coordinator Brandon Staley - but they’re going to need to do an insane job to put the clamps on the Packers given I think the Rams will struggle to score. 

 

The Packers are rolling. Their offence is a point scoring machine and their defence was much improved over the back half of the season, conceding only 18PPG over the final six weeks. They’re also 11-5 ATS since Rodgers became QB when they’ve got two weeks to prep for a game. 

 

Ravens v Bills…

 

The Ravens have covered 7 straight, are 14-4 ATS on the road since Lamar Jackson took the helm and are 10-3 ATS on the road in the playoffs under coach John Harbaugh. This is a team that’s still being underrated after a mid-season bout of COVID wrecked them for a few weeks, but they’re now back on track. 

 

The Ravens should find success against a defence that just gave up 400 yards and 27 first downs to the lowly Colts. Their run game is exceptional, which happens to be the weakness of the Buffalo D (giving up 5+ YPC), whereas I think the Ravens second ranked D can bottle up the Bills a week after doing a number on the explosive Titans. 

 

The Bills are potent, averaging 396 yards per game, but I’m not sure they have that sort of success against this defence, especially with starting RB Zack Moss out of the game.