Warrnambool Jumps Day Two Preview May 4th, 2022

The Race Club

4 May 2022

Warrambool Carnival Day 2  

 

Over the Sticks 

 

Superb jumps racing on Day 1 of the carnival and we managed to snag a couple of winners and finish the day in front. Hopefully we can do the same today. Race 5, The Steeple is a riddle and the Hurdle looks a cracking race.

 

Race 5

 

1, Runaway

Loves to lead and in  a much weaker fieled here compared to last start. I have never been a big fan of this horse who is nearly always short in the market but if anything puts pressure on it he doesn't tend to find much, stepping out of the big fences here and he may get away with a very soft run in the weak field but at the price i coudn't entertain.

2, Elvsion

The trainer ripped the Bool a new one yesterday so need to keep a watch on all of his today. Warmed up nicely for this on the flat before a steeple trial. Appeals at the odds.

3, Hierarchal

Won well on the flat last start and has had 2 jumps trials since.   A chance in an even race.

4, Cheners

Won a weak hurdle race at Hamilton before plodding around on the flat last start, had a trial over the steeples to be fit for this, not hopeless.

5, Looking Around

Will have been set for this so improvement would not surprize, but if it wins, I lose.

6, Once Were Lost

In the market and there has been some money for it so improved performance expected, would need to take on trust given recent efforts but not without a hope.

7, Persian Springs

Not for me today.

8, Under The Bridge

Surprized with a win on the flat over 1620m before tuning up with a trial over the big sticks, obviously a big chance but doesn’t seem value.

Summary

The market is dominated by the two favs but I really think they are both under the odds, I prefer Under the Bridge to Runaway but can’t back either.  Very difficult to work out best way to play this race. Have decided to lay Runaway and have a small spec on three others.

 

Betting

Lay Runaway to lose 1.5 Units

Back

2, Elvision .50 Units

3, Hierachal .50 Units

8, Once Were Lost. .50 Units

 

Race 6

 

1, Saunter Boy

Impressive winner at Pakenham and will be primed for this today.

3, Big Blue

Quality jumper but I am banking on it being set for other upcoming races

4, Out And Dreaming

Led and then fought back hard late at Pakenham, will be in this a long way.

5, Tamarack

Steeples is on the back beans and toast tonight if this wins.

6, ST Arnica

Was a bit disappointing for mine at Pakenham , astute trainer but would be surprized if he could turn the tables on the others from that race.

7, Eckhart

 Payne’s horses performed very poorly yesterday so that needs to be considered here. He did work home well last start.

8, Coleridge

No

9, Ammunicate

Has been performing well but outclassed here for mine.

 

Betting

At the odds have to back Out and Dreaming and small chop out Eckhart

4, Out and Dreaming.  2.25 units a win

7, Eckhart .75 units a win

Good luck !

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Melbourne Review | May 21st, 2022

The track raced very evenly and we saw an emerging 3YO prove his last start win was no fluke.

The Melbourne Review | May 7th, 2022

Rail was out and the track played slightly to the front in my opinion but where tempo allowed it was..

Warrnambool Jumps Preview, May 3rd, 2022

Steeples O'callaghan is back for the 'Bool